Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/17/2026]

Texas State and Southern Miss will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 4:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Texas State as the most likely winner of the Southern Miss vs. Texas State game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Southern Miss and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Texas State a 57% chance of beating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 73-71.

According to our model, Southern Miss (+2.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 140.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 140.5 total points.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball action between Texas State and Southern Miss at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to commence at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Southern Miss vs. Texas State
• Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Southern Miss on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Southern Miss vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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