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Parramatta Eels vs. St George Illawarra Dragons prediction: Why Eels are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 3 matchup [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons predictions for NRL Sunday.
The Parramatta Eels will face the St George Illawarra Dragons in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Bankwest Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:05 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Eels as the most likely winner of the Dragons vs. Eels game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Eels vs. Dragons prediction: Who will win Round 3 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Dragons and Eels 10,000 times as part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Eels a 67% chance of defeating the Dragons.
According to our model, the Eels (-5.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
St George vs. Eels odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dragons | Eels |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +160 | -204 |
| Line (Spread) | +5.5 (-130) | -5.5 (+105) |
| Total | o55.5 (-112) | u55.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eels -5.5 | bet_rivers_in+105 |
| Moneyline | Eels | bet_rivers_in-204 |
| Total | Under 55.5 | -114 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Eels vs. Dragons game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Eels and Dragons at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:05 AM ET.
- Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 1:05 AM ET/10:05PM PT
- Venue: Bankwest Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Eels, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dragons vs. Eels insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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