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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Sydney Roosters prediction: Roosters favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 8 matchup [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get St George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters predictions for NRL Saturday.
The St George Illawarra Dragons will take on the favored Sydney Roosters in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Allianz Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Roosters as the most likely winner of the Roosters vs. Dragons game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dragons vs. Roosters prediction: Who will win Round 8 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL game between the Roosters and Dragons, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Roosters an 84% chance of beating the Dragons.
According to our model, the Dragons (+16.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Roosters vs. St George odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Roosters | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -714 | +450 |
| Line (Spread) | -16.5 (-110) | +16.5 (-120) |
| Total | o52.5 (-109) | u52.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Roosters vs. Dragons picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Roosters -16.5 | bet_rivers_in-110 |
| Moneyline | Dragons | bet_rivers_in+450 |
| Total | Under 52.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 52.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dragons vs. Roosters game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Dragons and Roosters at Allianz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00 AM ET.
- Who: Sydney Roosters vs. St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 2:00 AM ET/11:00PM PT
- Venue: Allianz Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Roosters, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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