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Taylor Fritz vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP World Tour Finals 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Fritz vs de Minaur predictions for ATP World Tour Finals 2025.
Taylor Fritz will square off with Alex de Minaur in the ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025 event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Taylor Fritz as the most likely winner of the Fritz vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Fritz vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Fritz-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Fritz a 72% chance of defeating de Minaur at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
Additionally, Fritz has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fritz (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Taylor Fritz vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fritz | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -259 | +230 |
| First Set | -200 | +162 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-120) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-105) | u23.5 (-140) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fritz vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fritz | -259 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -140 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 23.5 total games.
Fritz vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 8:00AM ET.
- Who: Taylor Fritz vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
- Approx. Time: 8:00AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
We predict Taylor Fritz, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Alex de Minaur at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fritz vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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