...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Tennis best bets: WTA Miami Open predictions and picks for Tuesday, March 17
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
Check out Dimers' WTA tennis best bets. Today, we've identified four picks from our data predictions - all of which are +EV odds - at the Miami Open in Florida.
Tuesday's tennis best bets from the WTA Miami Open have been identified using Dimers' elite in-house sports betting predictions that uncover mis-priced sportsbook odds, resulting in our profitable best tennis bets.
Once again, we have an exciting slate of tennis predictions scheduled for Tuesday, March 17, 2026, where we've identified four solid tennis betting opportunities from this week's WTA Tour event, the Miami Open, in Florida.
While the public sometimes struggles to find an edge in tennis betting markets, the Dimers models have identified four tennis bets with significant value on Tuesday.
While these tennis picks can be bet straight up, we've decided to combine them into a tennis betting parlay targeting four specific matches.
By combining these four tennis betting picks we've transformed high-confidence data into a single ticket with +1266 odds, and our spirits are sky high after nailing this +605 odds tennis parlay recently, as well as a number of big tennis bets at last week's Indian Wells event.
Here's the breakdown of the best tennis bets we've used to craft our four-leg tennis parlay at +1266 odds.
Dimers Pro subscribers can download the Dimers App via the Apple App or Google Play stores - it's free with a Pro subscription. If you've not got a Dimers Pro account, visit the subscription page here and join today. Once subscribed to Dimers Pro you'll be directed to download our new sports betting app on your device.
RELATED: How we beat the odds using tennis data
Tennis best bets, picks and predictions: Tuesday, March 17
Bet: Z. Sonmez vs. B. Haddad Maia Over 19.5 Games (-120)
Tournament: Miami Open (Miami)
Women's singles matchup: Z. Sonmez vs. B. Haddad Maia
When: March 17, 2026
We open our tennis bets with Brazilian star Beatriz Haddad Maia taking on Zeynep Sonmez. Haddad Maia is notorious for playing grueling, marathon matches—she rarely blows opponents off the court quickly and often finds herself in three-set wars. The sportsbooks have set this total at a shockingly low 19.5 games.
Our model projects this match sailing over the total 64.2% of the time, creating a massive 9.6% edge against the -120 odds.
Why Over 19.5 games is the pick: To hit an Over 19.5, we literally just need a standard, competitive two-set match like 6-4, 6-4 (which equals 20 games). Given Haddad Maia's grinding baseline style and Sonmez's ability to hang in rallies, a quick 6-2, 6-2 blowout is highly unlikely. This is the highest-edge play on the board and the perfect anchor for today's tennis bets.
RELATED: How to maximize DraftKings’ 30% live tennis profit boost using Dimers’ data
Bet: J. Brady vs. S. Stephens Over 19.5 Games (-110)
Tournament: Miami Open (Miami)
Women's singles matchup: J. Brady vs. S. Stephens
When: March 17, 2026
For the second bet, we look at an all-American clash between Jennifer Brady and Sloane Stephens. Stephens is a former Miami Open champion who thrives in these conditions, while Brady brings immense power to the court. When two familiar compatriots face off, familiarity often breeds tight, back-and-forth sets.
We assign a 59.1% probability to this match going Over 19.5 games, offering a solid 6.7% edge.
Why Over 19.5 games is the pick: Much like the first bet, the 19.5 line is simply too low for a matchup of this caliber. Both women possess the serve and return games to trade blows, meaning at least one long set (like a 7-5 or 7-6) is highly probable. Even without a tiebreak, a routine 6-4, 6-4 cashes the ticket. Betting the Over here is one of the smartest tennis bets of the afternoon.
Bet: F. Jones vs. V. Williams Over 20.5 Games (-105)
Tournament: Miami Open (Miami)
Women's singles matchup: F. Jones vs. V. Williams
When: March 17, 2026
We keep the ticket moving with a slightly higher total of 20.5 games. Tennis legend Venus Williams takes the court against Francesca Jones. Venus's matches at this stage of her career are often defined by her fighting spirit and big serve, which keeps her in sets even when her movement is tested.
Our simulations sees this match eclipsing 20.5 games 57.6% of the time, generating a strong 6.4% edge.
Why Over 20.5 games is the pick: To clear Over 20.5, we need 21 games. This can happen with a tight two-setter (like 7-5, 6-3) or, very likely, a three-setter where momentum swings back and forth. Jones will make Venus work, but Venus's serve on these fast Miami courts will ensure she holds plenty of times. We are banking on a prolonged battle, making this a crucial addition to our best parlay.
Bet: D. Vidmanova vs. E. Jacquemot Over 20.5 Games (+100)
Tournament: Miami Open (Miami)
Women's singles matchup: D. Vidmanova vs. E. Jacquemot
When: March 17, 2026
We close out the ticket with two players hungry to make their mark at a WTA 1000 event: Darja Vidmanova and Elsa Jacquemot. This is a brilliant matchmaking spot where neither player has a massive, overwhelming advantage over the other. The sportsbooks are offering even money (+100) on this match exceeding 20.5 games.
Our model projects the Over hitting 56.2% of the time, resulting in a highly valuable 6.2% edge.
Why Over 20.5 games is the pick: When two evenly matched players clash in the first round, nerves and momentum shifts frequently lead to three-set affairs. At +100 odds, we are getting fantastic value on a match that has "grind" written all over it. If they split the first two sets, we cash before the third set even really begins. This is a high-upside, data-backed way to securely close out our tennis parlay.
Tennis best bets today
Miami Open picks for Tuesday, March 17
Bet 1: Sonmez/Haddad Maia Over 19.5 (-120)
Bet 2: Brady/Stephens Over 19.5 (-110)
Bet 3: Jones/Williams Over 20.5 (-105)
Bet 4: Vidmanova/Jacquemot Over 20.5 (+100)
Parlay odds: +1266
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure