Texas State vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win in college football Week 6, 2025

Arkansas State will square off with the favored Texas State in Week 6 college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college football model predicts the Texas State as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Texas State vs. Arkansas State predictions page.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Texas State vs. Arkansas State 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Texas State a 77% chance of beating Arkansas State. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 38-25.

According to our model, Arkansas State (+23.5) has a 62% chance of covering the spread, while the 68.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texas State	Arkansas State
Spread	-23.5 (-115)	+23.5 (-115)
Moneyline	-500	+1400
Total	o68.5 (-125)	u68.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Texas State vs. Arkansas State picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Texas State vs. Arkansas State matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best college football picks and college football best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's college football game between Arkansas State and Texas State at Centennial Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00PM ET.

• Who: Texas State vs. Arkansas State
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 4:00PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

Dimers' full preview of Saturday's Texas State vs. Arkansas State matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texas State vs. Arkansas State picks, be sure to check out the latest college football predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas State on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas State vs. Arkansas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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