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Texas State vs. South Alabama prediction: South Alabama favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Texas State vs South Alabama predictions for college basketball Thursday.
South Alabama will take on Texas State in men's college basketball action at Mitchell Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts South Alabama as the most likely winner of the Texas State vs. South Alabama game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Texas State vs. South Alabama prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Texas State and South Alabama 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives South Alabama a 62% chance of beating Texas State. Our predicted final score has South Alabama winning 71-68.
According to our model, Texas State (+4.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 137.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
Texas State vs. South Alabama odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texas State | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +172 | -198 |
| Total | o137.5 (-105) | u137.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texas State vs. South Alabama picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State +4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Texas State | +172 |
| Total | Over 137.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas State +4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Texas State vs. South Alabama game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball game between South Alabama and Texas State at Mitchell Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Texas State vs. South Alabama
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Mitchell Center
Conclusion
We predict South Alabama, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Texas State on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas State vs. South Alabama insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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