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Tommy Paul vs. Adrian Mannarino prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Paul vs Mannarino predictions for ATP Miami Open.
Tommy Paul and Adrian Mannarino will meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Miami Open event on Friday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Paul vs. Mannarino match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paul vs. Mannarino prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Paul-Mannarino men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Paul a 79% chance of winning against Mannarino at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Paul has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Paul (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Tommy Paul vs. Adrian Mannarino odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Paul | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -463 | +390 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-104) | +4.5 (-128) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-118) | u21.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Paul vs. Mannarino picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mannarino | +390 |
| First Set | Mannarino | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Paul vs. Mannarino updates and essential details
The ATP Miami Open match between Tommy Paul and Adrian Mannarino is scheduled to begin on Friday at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Tommy Paul vs. Adrian Mannarino
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Paul vs. Mannarino insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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