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Read Article Tommy Paul vs. Daniel Altmaier prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hamburg Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Paul vs Altmaier predictions for ATP Hamburg Open.
Tommy Paul will take on Daniel Altmaier in the quarterfinals at the ATP Hamburg event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the Paul vs. Altmaier match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paul vs. Altmaier prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Paul-Altmaier men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Paul a 66% chance of defeating Altmaier at the ATP Hamburg Open tournament.
Additionally, Paul has a 64% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Altmaier (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Tommy Paul vs. Daniel Altmaier odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Paul | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -220 | +184 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-104) | +3.5 (-130) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Paul vs. Altmaier picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Altmaier | +184 |
| First Set | Altmaier | -105 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Paul vs. Altmaier updates and essential details
The ATP Hamburg Open match between Tommy Paul and Daniel Altmaier is scheduled to start on Thursday at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Tommy Paul vs. Daniel Altmaier
- Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Hamburg, Germany Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Altmaier at the ATP Hamburg Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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