Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/19/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Toronto Blue Jays-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Tuesday, May 19, 2026.

The New York Yankees and Toronto bluejays will lock horns in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 7:05 PM ET.

Will Warren (5-1, 3.42 ERA) will start on the mound for the Yankees, while the Blue Jays have opted for Dylan Cease (3-1, 2.41 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner of the Blue Jays vs. Yankees game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 55% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.

According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 58% chance of going over.

 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds [5/19/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blue Jays Yankees
Run Line +1.5 (-178) -1.5 (+152)
Moneyline +116 -132
Total o8.5 (-120) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Yankees -1.5 +152
Moneyline Blue Jays +116
Total Over 8.5 -120

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB action between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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