Maple Leafs vs. Bruins prediction: Boston favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]

The Boston Bruins and Toronto mapleleafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at TD Garden on Tuesday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Bruins as the most likely winner of the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Bruins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Bruins a 61% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Bruins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-155)	-1.5 (+130)
Moneyline	+170	-194
Total	o6.5 (-102)	u6.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-155
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+170
Total	Under 6.5	-118

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins player props

Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Bruins?

According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Bruins.

Our projections give Pastrnak a 50.3% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is a 10.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
William Nylander	42.1%
John Tavares	38.7%
Matthew Knies	34.7%
Benoit-Olivier Groulx	23.5%
Matias Maccelli	21.4%

Boston Bruins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	50.3%
Morgan Geekie	34.8%
Viktor Arvidsson	29.4%
Pavel Zacha	26.4%
Elias Lindholm	22.4%

First goal scorer predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
William Nylander	8.2%
John Tavares	7.8%
Matthew Knies	6.2%
Benoit-Olivier Groulx	3.9%
Matias Maccelli	3.8%

Boston Bruins

Player	First Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	10.9%
Morgan Geekie	6.6%
Viktor Arvidsson	5.1%
Pavel Zacha	4.7%
Elias Lindholm	4.2%

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Bruins and Maple Leafs at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins
• Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Bruins, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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