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Maple Leafs vs. Flames prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Monday's NHL matchup [2/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Monday.
The Calgary Flames and Toronto mapleleafs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Saddledome on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Maple Leafs-Flames matchup.
This article offers further insights into Monday's Maple Leafs vs. Flames matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Flames 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Maple Leafs and Flames a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the 6-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Maple Leafs | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -114 | -105 |
| Total | o6 (-130) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flames | -105 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames to win.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Maple Leafs vs. Flames?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Flames.
Our projections give Matthews a 39.4% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 9.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 39.4% |
| William Nylander | 34.2% |
| John Tavares | 29.9% |
| Matthew Knies | 23.1% |
| Bobby McMann | 22.2% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 29.0% |
| Nazem Kadri | 25.7% |
| Matthew Coronato | 24.6% |
| Mikael Backlund | 22.7% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 21.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.2% |
| William Nylander | 7.3% |
| John Tavares | 5.8% |
| Matthew Knies | 4.6% |
| Bobby McMann | 4.5% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.7% |
| Nazem Kadri | 4.9% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.4% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 4.1% |
| Mikael Backlund | 4.0% |
Maple Leafs vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Flames and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Maple Leafs and Flames on Monday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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