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Tottenham vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tottenham vs Leeds predictions for Premier League Monday.
Premier League action continues on Monday at 3:00 PM ET as Leeds takes on Tottenham at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Tottenham as the most likely winner of the Tottenham vs. Leeds game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tottenham vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Premier League match between Tottenham and Leeds, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 51.4% chance of Tottenham winning, a 24.9% chance for Leeds, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Tottenham vs. Leeds odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Tottenham | Leeds | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -125 | +320 | +295 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tottenham vs. Leeds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leeds | +320 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tottenham vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TOT 1-1 Leeds | 11.1% |
| TOT 1-0 Leeds | 9.8% |
| TOT 2-1 Leeds | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Tottenham vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League game between Tottenham and Leeds at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Tottenham vs. Leeds
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is one to watch for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation grows in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Aaronson's form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Tottenham has a 51.4% win probability on Monday, Leeds has a 24.9% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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