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UNLV vs. Boise State prediction: Boise State favored to win Mountain West Championship, 2025

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get UNLV vs Boise State predictions for college football Friday.

UNLV-Boise State Predictions and Game Preview.
UNLV vs. Boise State college football gameday prediction for Friday, December 5, 2025.

Boise State will square off with UNLV in the 2025 Mountain West Championship Game at Albertsons Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Boise State as the most likely winner of the UNLV vs. Boise State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Mountain West Conference Football Championship Game prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of UNLV vs. Boise State 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Boise State a 63% chance of defeating UNLV. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 31-25.

According to our model, UNLV (+6) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 59% chance of going over.

 

UNLV vs. Boise State odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type UNLV Boise State
Spread +6 (-110) -6 (-108)
Moneyline +200 -220
Total o59.5 (-110) u59.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UNLV vs. Boise State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread UNLV +6 -110
Moneyline UNLV +200
Total Over 59.5 -110

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 59.5 total points.

 

UNLV vs. Boise State game-day updates and essential details

Friday's college football matchup between Boise State and UNLV at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

  • Who: UNLV vs. Boise State
  • Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
  • Venue: Albertsons Stadium

 

Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat UNLV on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UNLV vs. Boise State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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