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Mammoth vs. Flames prediction: Why Utah is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Utah Mammoth vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Calgary Flames will take on the Utah Mammoth in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Sunday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Mammoth as the most likely winner of the Mammoth vs. Flames game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Mammoth vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Mammoth and the Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mammoth a 58% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mammoth vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mammoth | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+160) | +1.5 (-180) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +136 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mammoth vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -180 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +136 |
| Total | Under 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mammoth vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Flames?
According to our model, Dylan Guenther is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Flames.
Our projections give Guenther a 36.8% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 36.8% |
| Logan Cooley | 33.4% |
| Clayton Keller | 31.5% |
| Lawson Crouse | 25.6% |
| Nick Schmaltz | 24.5% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 23.4% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 23.2% |
| Victor Olofsson | 21.7% |
| Matthew Coronato | 21.3% |
| Joel Farabee | 19.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 7.3% |
| Logan Cooley | 6.7% |
| Clayton Keller | 6.2% |
| Lawson Crouse | 5.2% |
| Nick Schmaltz | 4.5% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 4.3% |
| Victor Olofsson | 4.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.0% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 3.9% |
| Blake Coleman | 3.6% |
Mammoth vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Flames and Mammoth at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Mammoth vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict Mammoth, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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