Mammoth vs. Penguins prediction: Why Utah is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [12/14/2025]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the Utah Mammoth, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Mammoth a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Penguins.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Mammoth vs. Penguins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Mammoth vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Mammoth and the Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mammoth a 52% chance of beating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of going over.

Mammoth vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mammoth	Penguins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+180)	+1.5 (-210)
Moneyline	-130	+114
Total	o6 (-130)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mammoth vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins +1.5	-210
Moneyline	Penguins	+114
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.

Mammoth vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Crosby a 38.8% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Utah Mammoth

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Clayton Keller	33.7%
JJ Peterka	33.6%
Dylan Guenther	31.5%
Nick Schmaltz	25.4%
Lawson Crouse	24.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	38.8%
Bryan Rust	33.7%
Rickard Rakell	26.1%
Anthony Mantha	26.0%
Thomas Novak	22.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Utah Mammoth

Player	First Goal Probability
Clayton Keller	6.4%
JJ Peterka	6.2%
Dylan Guenther	6.0%
Nick Schmaltz	5.1%
Lawson Crouse	4.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	7.3%
Bryan Rust	7.2%
Anthony Mantha	4.5%
Rickard Rakell	4.4%
Thomas Novak	4.2%

Mammoth vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Penguins and Mammoth at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: Utah Mammoth vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
• Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict Mammoth, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mammoth vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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