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Mammoth vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [1/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Monday.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Utah Mammoth in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Mammoth vs. Lightning game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Mammoth vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Mammoth and the Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of beating the Mammoth.
According to our model, the Mammoth (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Mammoth vs. Lightning odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mammoth | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+160) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -150 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mammoth vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +160 |
| Moneyline | Lightning | -150 |
| Total | Over 6 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6 total goals.
Mammoth vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 40.4% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 32.0% |
| Lawson Crouse | 25.5% |
| Clayton Keller | 25.3% |
| JJ Peterka | 23.8% |
| Nick Schmaltz | 20.8% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 40.4% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 40.3% |
| Brandon Hagel | 35.9% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 20.8% |
| Darren Raddysh | 20.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 6.2% |
| Clayton Keller | 5.0% |
| Lawson Crouse | 4.7% |
| JJ Peterka | 4.5% |
| Nick Schmaltz | 3.6% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.7% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.1% |
| Brandon Hagel | 7.1% |
| Darren Raddysh | 4.3% |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 3.8% |
Mammoth vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Lightning and Mammoth at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Mammoth vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Mammoth on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mammoth vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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