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Golden Knights vs. Ducks prediction: Why Vegas is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [5/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Anaheim Ducks will take on the Vegas Golden Knights in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at Honda Center on Sunday, commencing at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Golden Knights a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Ducks.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Golden Knights vs. Ducks matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Golden Knights vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Golden Knights and Ducks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 51% chance of beating the Ducks.
According to our model, the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Golden Knights vs. Ducks odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Golden Knights | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Golden Knights vs. Ducks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Golden Knights | +105 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Golden Knights to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Golden Knights vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Ducks?
According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Dorofeyev a 34.3% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 6.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 34.3% |
| Jack Eichel | 32.8% |
| Mitch Marner | 31.3% |
| Brett Howden | 25.5% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 24.8% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson | 30.4% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 29.8% |
| Chris Kreider | 24.8% |
| Troy Terry | 24.7% |
| Alex Killorn | 20.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 6.9% |
| Jack Eichel | 5.9% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.8% |
| Brett Howden | 4.3% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 4.3% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 6.2% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.7% |
| Troy Terry | 4.4% |
| Chris Kreider | 4.2% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 3.7% |
Golden Knights vs. Ducks game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Ducks and Golden Knights in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Golden Knights and Ducks, reached the NHL Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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