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Golden Knights vs. Kraken prediction: Vegas favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Seattle Kraken will face the Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action at Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Golden Knights vs. Kraken game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Golden Knights vs. Kraken prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Golden Knights and Kraken, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 59% chance of defeating the Kraken.
According to our model, the Kraken (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under.
Golden Knights vs. Kraken odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Golden Knights | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+136) | +1.5 (-160) |
| Moneyline | -192 | +165 |
| Total | o6.5 (+105) | u6.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Golden Knights vs. Kraken picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kraken +1.5 | -160 |
| Moneyline | Kraken | +165 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -125 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kraken to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Golden Knights vs. Kraken player props
Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Kraken?
According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Kraken.
Our projections give Dorofeyev a 39.4% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is an 8.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 39.4% |
| Jack Eichel | 33.1% |
| Mitch Marner | 29.8% |
| Tomas Hertl | 25.6% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 25.4% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bobby McMann | 30.6% |
| Matty Beniers | 24.3% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 23.4% |
| Jared McCann | 23.2% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 22.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 8.0% |
| Jack Eichel | 6.5% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.7% |
| Tomas Hertl | 5.0% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 4.5% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bobby McMann | 5.7% |
| Matty Beniers | 4.6% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 4.5% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 4.4% |
| Jordan Eberle | 4.2% |
Golden Knights vs. Kraken game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Kraken and Golden Knights at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Seattle Kraken
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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