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Capitals vs. Ducks prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [12/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Friday.
NHL action continues on Friday at 10:00PM ET as the Washington Capitals square off with the Anaheim Ducks at Honda Center.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Ducks game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL game between the Capitals and Ducks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Capitals a 57% chance of beating the Ducks.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Capitals vs. Ducks odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+175) | +1.5 (-210) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +116 |
| Total | o6.5 (-110) | u6.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Ducks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals -1.5 | +175 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | -135 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Ducks?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 36.6% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 36.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 33.4% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 31.1% |
| Dylan Strome | 30.9% |
| Connor McMichael | 25.4% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 32.3% |
| Leo Carlsson | 31.8% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 31.5% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 22.8% |
| Mason McTavish | 22.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.3% |
| Tom Wilson | 6.6% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.7% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.6% |
| Ryan Leonard | 4.8% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 6.3% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 6.2% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.8% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 4.3% |
| Troy Terry | 4.0% |
Caps vs. Ducks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Ducks and Capitals at Honda Center is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Ducks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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