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Capitals vs. Jets prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [12/13/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs Winnipeg Jets predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Winnipeg Jets and Washington Capitals will meet in the NHL at Canada Life Centre on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Jets.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Capitals vs. Jets matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Jets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Capitals and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 51% chance of beating the Jets.
According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Capitals vs. Jets odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+225) | +1.5 (-265) |
| Moneyline | -113 | +100 |
| Total | o5.5 (-105) | u5.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Jets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals -1.5 | +225 |
| Moneyline | Jets | +100 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Jets player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Jets?
According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Jets.
Our projections give Connor a 36.3% chance of scoring a goal at Canada Life Centre, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 34.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 31.3% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 28.5% |
| Dylan Strome | 26.6% |
| Connor McMichael | 23.2% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 36.3% |
| Mark Scheifele | 34.5% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 32.5% |
| Cole Perfetti | 19.7% |
| Jonathan Toews | 16.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 6.9% |
| Tom Wilson | 6.0% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.6% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.2% |
| Connor McMichael | 4.8% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele | 7.4% |
| Kyle Connor | 7.0% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 6.7% |
| Cole Perfetti | 3.8% |
| Josh Morrissey | 3.1% |
Caps vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Jets and Capitals at Canada Life Centre is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Winnipeg Jets
- Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Canada Life Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Jets on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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