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West Ham vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get West Ham vs Arsenal predictions for Premier League Sunday.
West Ham will square off with Arsenal in Premier League action at London Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 11:30 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Arsenal as the most likely winner of the West Ham vs. Arsenal game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
West Ham vs. Arsenal prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between West Ham and Arsenal, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 13.9% chance of West Ham winning, a 66.5% chance for Arsenal, and a 19.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
West Ham vs. Arsenal odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| West Ham | Arsenal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +475 | -175 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
West Ham vs. Arsenal picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arsenal | -175 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -138 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arsenal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
West Ham vs. Arsenal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| WHU 0-2 ARS | 11.6% |
| WHU 0-1 ARS | 11% |
| WHU 1-2 ARS | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
West Ham vs. Arsenal game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between West Ham and Arsenal at London Stadium is scheduled to start in the United States at 11:30 AM ET.
- Who: West Ham vs. Arsenal
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Venue: London Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, West Ham has a 13.9% win probability on Sunday, Arsenal has a 66.5% win probability, and there is a 19.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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