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WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/13.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, May 13, 2026—are live with the Raptors' Brittney Griner projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections derive insights from key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Griner, A'ja Wilson and Brittney Griner lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 13, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 16.5% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.1% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 14.1% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.9% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 13.8% |
| Chennedy Carter (Aces) | 13.7% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.6% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 13.4% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.2% |
| Temi Fagbenle (Tempo) | 11.9% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.8% |
| Rickea Jackson (Sky) | 11.7% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.7% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 11.5% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.3% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 11.0% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 10.5% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 10.4% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 10.3% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 10.2% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 9.9% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 9.6% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 9.3% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 8.8% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.7% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 8.6% |
| Lexie Brown (Storm) | 8.5% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 8.5% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 8.3% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 8.1% |
| Myisha Hines-Allen (Fever) | 8.1% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 7.4% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.2% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 7.1% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.0% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.8% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 6.7% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 6.2% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.8% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 5.5% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 5.3% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julie Allemand | Tempo | 1.9% | +2000 | 6.7% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 1.6% | +1400 | 8.3% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 1.5% | +1700 | 7.0% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 1.5% | +1400 | 8.1% |
| Temi Fagbenle | Tempo | 1.3% | +850 | 11.9% |
| Jackie Young | Aces | 1.3% | +850 | 11.8% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 1.2% | +850 | 11.7% |
| NaLyssa Smith | Aces | 0.9% | +1100 | 9.3% |
| Kaila Charles | Valkyries | 0.8% | +1200 | 8.5% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 0.5% | +1000 | 9.6% |
| Sophie Cunningham | Fever | 0.1% | +1300 | 7.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, May 13, 2026, Brittney Griner, A'ja Wilson and Brittney Griner lead our first basket projections, while Julie Allemand shapes as the strongest value play at +2000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media brands.
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