WNBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Luisa Geiselsoder [5/12/2026]

Luisa Geiselsoder under 7.5 rebounds (-152)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Projection: 5.1
• Game: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Portland's Luisa Geiselsoder under 7.5 rebounds. A probability of 63.1% gives this play an edge of 2.8% at -152 odds.

Rhyne Howard over 2.5 3-pointers made (-125)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Projection: 3.5
• Game: Dream vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)

Rhyne Howard’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 4.4% edge at -125 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 3.5 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.

Olivia Miles under 6.5 assists (+112)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Projection: 5.0
• Game: Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Olivia Miles under 6.5 assists, with simulations showing a 58.6% probability and an 11.4% edge at +112.

Natasha Howard under 14.5 points scored (-120)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Projection: 10.5
• Game: Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Natasha Howard to record 10.5 points scored today, creating an edge of 3.6% on the under 14.5 line at -120 odds.

Paige Bueckers under 19.5 points scored (+110)

• Edge: 9.8%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Projection: 15.9
• Game: Dream vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Paige Bueckers under 19.5 points scored for Dallas, showing an edge of 9.8% at +110 odds.

Marine Johannes under 15.5 points scored (+100)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Projection: 12.0
• Game: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Marine Johannes’s points scored prop shows an edge of 7.2% at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 12.0 today.

Courtney Williams over 5.5 assists (-104)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Projection: 6.7
• Game: Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Courtney Williams for 6.7 assists for Minnesota, creating an edge of 5.9% on over 5.5 at -104 odds.

Carla Leite under 14.5 points scored (-116)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Projection: 11.8
• Game: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Carla Leite for 11.8 points scored, creating value on the under 14.5 line at -116 odds and a 2.0% edge.

Paige Bueckers under 5.5 assists (+105)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Projection: 4.7
• Game: Dream vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)

A 5.9% edge on the under 14.5 assists line makes Paige Bueckers a value play in Dream vs. Wings, with our model projecting her for 4.7 assists at +105 odds.

Angel Reese over 12.5 rebounds (+100)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Projection: 13.3
• Game: Dream vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Angel Reese for 13.3 rebounds here, creating a 4.6% edge on the over 12.5 line at +100 odds.

WNBA player prop summary: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:54AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Liberty vs. Fire	Luisa Geiselsoder under 7.5 rebounds	-152 @ FanDuel	2.8%	63.1%
Dream vs. Wings	Rhyne Howard over 2.5 3-pointers made	-125 @ Fanatics	4.4%	59.9%
Lynx vs. Mercury	Olivia Miles under 6.5 assists	+112 @ FanDuel	3.6%	58.2%
Lynx vs. Mercury	Natasha Howard under 14.5 points scored	-120 @ DraftKings	3.6%	58.2%
Dream vs. Wings	Paige Bueckers under 19.5 points scored	+110 @ Fanatics	9.8%	57.4%
Liberty vs. Fire	Marine Johannes under 15.5 points scored	+100 @ DraftKings	7.2%	57.2%
Lynx vs. Mercury	Courtney Williams over 5.5 assists	-104 @ FanDuel	5.9%	56.8%
Liberty vs. Fire	Carla Leite under 14.5 points scored	-116 @ Fanatics	2.0%	55.8%
Dream vs. Wings	Paige Bueckers under 5.5 assists	+105 @ DraftKings	5.9%	54.7%
Dream vs. Wings	Angel Reese over 12.5 rebounds	+100 @ DraftKings	4.6%	54.6%

Conclusion

For May 12, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Luisa Geiselsoder, Rhyne Howard and Olivia Miles. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.