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Troy vs. Texas State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Troy vs. Texas State NCAAF game on October 11, 2025. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Troy
Predicted score
23
:
29
Oct 12, 12AM UFCU Stadium
Texas State
Oct 12, 12AM UFCU Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 10:44PM, Oct 8
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Troy
Troy +9.5
Spread
61%
39%
Texas State
Troy TROY
Troy +9.5
Spread
61%
39%
Texas State TXST

Game Prediction Article

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Troy vs. Texas State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Troy vs. Texas State
  • Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UFCU Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Texas State favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Troy +270, Texas State -325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Troy: 36%
  • Texas State: 64%

Dimers.com's predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Troy 23-29 Texas State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Troy a win probability of 36%, while Texas State has a win probability of 64%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat Troy in CFB action at UFCU Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Troy vs. Texas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

Our in-depth analysis includes college football player props and college football futures, as well as constantly updated college football odds and the latest college football news.

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