Sunderland vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/24/2026]
EPL
Burnley vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Burnley vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
:
2
May 10, 1PM Turf Moor
May 10, 1PM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Anthony (8')
Z. Flemming (59')
R. Barkley (42')
O. Watkins (56')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces Florentino
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces J. Anthony
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. McGinn
Substitution for Burnley: Z. Amdouni replaces Z. Flemming
Substitution for Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz replaces R. Barkley
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces M. Cash
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces L. Ugochukwu
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces V. Lindelof
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces H. Mejbri
Z. Flemming (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming, assisted by H. Mejbri
2-2
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by E. Martinez
2-1
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by R. Barkley, assisted by J. McGinn
1-1
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony
0-1
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Burnley vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Burnley vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +550, Aston Villa -190, draw +350
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Burnley: 17.9%
- Aston Villa: 61.1%
- Draw: 21.0%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Burnley 0-2 Aston Villa, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Burnley is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.9% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 61.1%, with the draw at 21.0%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Burnley vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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