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Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol La Liga game on February 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Espanyol
2
4
Feb 21, 8PM Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Feb 21, 8PM Metropolitano Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
EspanyolESP
A. Sorloth (21')
G. Simeone (49')
A. Lookman (58')
A. Sorloth (72')
Jofre (6')
Exposito (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ESP
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces G. Simeone
83'
Yellow Card
C. Ngonge (Espanyol) cautioned
80'
Goal scored for Espanyol by Exposito
2-4
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Espanyol: P. Milla replaces Jofre
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces M. Llorente
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Griezmann
72'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by M. Ruggeri
1-4
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Espanyol: Exposito replaces P. Lozano
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Espanyol: R. Fernandez Jaen replaces K. Garcia
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Espanyol: C. Ngonge replaces T. Dolan
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces A. Baena
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Lookman
58'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Lookman, assisted by M. Ruggeri
1-3
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Espanyol: R. Terrats replaces C. Riedel
49'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by G. Simeone, assisted by A. Baena
1-2
21'
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by M. Llorente
1-1
6'
Goal scored for Espanyol by Jofre
1-0

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Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -260, Espanyol +700, Draw +370
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-137/+112)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 63.2%
  • Espanyol: 15.3%
  • Draw: 21.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Espanyol, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 63.2%, while Espanyol has a win probability of 15.3%. The chance of a draw is 21.5%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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