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Osasuna vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on February 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
2
Feb 21, 5:30PM Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Feb 21, 5:30PM Estadio El Sadar
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Budimir (pen.) (38')
R. Garcia (90')
Vinicius Junior (73')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
OSA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia, assisted by R. Moro
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
D. Alaba (Real Madrid) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
T. Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces V. Rosier
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Moro replaces J. Moncayola
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces A. Guler
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces F. Valverde
73'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by F. Valverde
1-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces A. Oroz
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
66'
Yellow Card
J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces R. Garcia
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces E. Camavinga
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces D. Carvajal
38'
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir (pen.)
0-1
37'
Yellow Card
T. Courtois (Real Madrid) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Osasuna +380, Real Madrid -135, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-152/+128)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Osasuna: 23.5%
  • Real Madrid: 53.1%
  • Draw: 23.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Osasuna a win probability of 23.5%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 53.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.4%.

Summary

Our Osasuna vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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