Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Red Sox MLB game on July 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
5
6
Jul 20, 7:10 PM ET Fenway Park
Red Sox
Jul 20, 7:10 PM ET Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 5 11 4
Red Sox
0 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 X 6 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyler O'Neill lines out to shortstop to Tsung-Che Cheng.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward LF5110001.2000.600
2 P. Alonso 1B4010002.2500.650
3 G. Henderson SS5130001.6001.800
4 T. O'Neill RF5122000.4001.000
5 D. Beavers DH1000001.0000.000
6 L. Taveras CF3110012.3330.833
7 J. Jackson 2B4011001.2500.500
8 J. Holliday 3B1000000.0000.000
9 C. Cowser PH0000010.0001.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Seigler 2B4000000.0000.000
2 C. Rafaela CF4111002.2500.500
3 W. Abreu RF4221001.5001.250
4 W. Contreras 1B4132001.7501.750
5 M. Yoshida DH4010001.2500.500
6 C. Durbin 3B4111100.2501.250
7 J. Duran LF3011001.3330.583
8 C. Wong C3010001.3330.666
9 T. Cheng SS3100002.0000.000

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Orioles vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Orioles vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles +150, Red Sox -117

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Orioles: 41%
  • Red Sox: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 41%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.