Tigers vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [7/20/2026]
Get Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Monday.
The Chicago Cubs will face the Detroit Tigers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Wrigley Field on Monday, starting at 8:05 PM ET.
Jameson Taillon (2-5, 5.19 ERA) will start for the Cubs, pitting him against Jack Flaherty (3-8, 4.48 ERA) for the Tigers.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 51.8% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Tigers vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 51.8% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 63.5% chance of covering the run line, while the 11.5-run over/under has a 55.8% chance of staying under,.
Tigers vs. Cubs odds [7/20/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | +104 | -108 |
| Total | o11.5 (+108) | u11.5 (-113) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cubs -1.5 | +165 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | -108 |
| Total | Under 11.5 | -113 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 11.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Cubs and Tigers at Wrigley Field is scheduled to begin at 8:05 PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
- Time: 8:05 PM ET/5:05PM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 51.8% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
