Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Brewers MLB game on July 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
vs.
Jul 21, 7:40 PM ET American Family Field
Brewers
Jul 21, 7:40 PM ET American Family Field
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: Jul 21, 3:41 PM

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Brewers
    50.5%
    NovigNovig
  • Mets
    49.5%
    bet365bet365
Zach Thornton 0-1, 2.60 ERA
Brandon Sproat 3-4, 5.16 ERA
Weather Forecast
Last Updated: Jul 21, 11:15AM
Sunny weather icon
75°FSunny
RoofRetractable
Humidity50%
Wind speed13mph
Cloud cover16%
Dew point55°F
Wind directionNNW

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Mets vs. Brewers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Brewers
  • Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Venue: American Family Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Brewers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets +125, Brewers -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 49%
  • Brewers: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 49%, while the Brewers have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at American Family Field on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Brewers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.