Rays vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [7/21/2026]
Get Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET as the Tampa Bay Rays square off with the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
The Blue Jays will start Kevin Gausman (4-8, 4.33 ERA), while the Rays are going with Drew Rasmussen (7-5, 3.26 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Blue Jays a slight edge with a 51.7% win probability over the Rays.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Rays vs. Blue Jays matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rays vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 51.7% chance of defeating the Rays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 64.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.2% chance of going over,.
Rays vs. Blue Jays odds [7/21/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+156) | +1.5 (-163) |
| Moneyline | -102 | +100 |
| Total | o7.5 (+100) | u7.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rays vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Blue Jays +1.5 | -163 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | +100 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | +100 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rays vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Rays at Rogers Centre is scheduled to start at 7:07 PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Time: 7:07 PM ET/4:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 51.7% win probability, will likely beat the Rays in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
