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D.C. United vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. Chicago MLS game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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D.C. United
2
1
Mar 15, 12:30AM Soldier Field
Chicago
Mar 15, 12:30AM Soldier Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
H. Cuypers (pen.) (81')
Soccer ball icon
M. Peltola (84')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
DC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo (pen.)
2-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: S. Nealis replaces B. Servania
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. Borso replaces L. Barroso
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: V. Radojevic replaces J. Dean
86'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces Peglow
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by M. Peltola
1-1
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers (pen.)
0-1
78'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces Gabriel Pirani
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Waterman replaces J. Elliott
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces R. Lod
64'
Yellow Card
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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D.C. United vs. Chicago: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: D.C. United +480, Chicago -160, Draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+117)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D.C. United: 15.2%
  • Chicago: 64.1%
  • Draw: 20.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is D.C. United 0-2 Chicago, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chicago a win probability of 64.1%, while D.C. United has a win probability of 15.2%. The chance of a draw is 20.6%.

Summary

Our D.C. United vs. Chicago predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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