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Portland vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Houston MLS game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Portland
2
3
Mar 15, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Mar 15, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
Guilherme (62')
Soccer ball icon
Felipe Andrade (77')
Soccer ball icon
N. Markanich (90')
Red Card icon
M. Bogusz (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guerra (45')
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K. Velde (80')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
POR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
N. Markanich (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces L. Ennali
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: K. Kelsy replaces G. Guerra
90'
Yellow Card
Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by J. McGlynn
2-3
85'
Yellow Card
F. Mora (Portland Timbers) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces D. Holmes
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde, assisted by F. Surman
2-2
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Guilherme
1-2
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces A. Lassiter
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces A. Aravena
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces Lucas Halter
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. Samassekou
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces D. Da Costa
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-1
58'
Yellow Card
J. Fory (Portland Timbers) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces E. Ponce
45'
Yellow Card
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
45'
Penalty missed by K. Velde for Portland Timbers
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by G. Guerra
1-0
45'
Yellow Card
A. Lassiter (Portland Timbers) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
B. Olsen (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
K. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned

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Portland vs. Houston: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Portland +450, Houston -159, Draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-188/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Portland: 22.8%
  • Houston: 54.2%
  • Draw: 23.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Portland 1-1 Houston, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Houston a win probability of 54.2%, while Portland has a win probability of 22.8%. The chance of a draw is 23.0%.

Summary

Our Portland vs. Houston predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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