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D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls at the MLS on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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D.C. United
4
:
4
Apr 22, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Apr 22, 11:30PM Sports Illustrated Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
J. Hall (15')
Soccer ball icon
R. Donkor (21')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (52')
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J. Ruvalcaba (71')
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T. Baribo (37')
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J. Hopkins (54')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (59')
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T. Baribo (80')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NY
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
DC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Clark (DC United) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
86'
Yellow Card
M. Peltola (DC United) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Hopkins
81'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces B. Servania
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by S. Hefti
4-4
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces J. Ruvalcaba
77'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces A. Herrera
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by R. Donkor
3-4
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces R. Mosquera
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces A. Mehmeti
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by Peglow
3-3
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by J. Hopkins, assisted by Peglow
2-3
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by E. Forsberg
1-3
50'
Yellow Card
A. Mehmeti (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Masanka Bungi replaces M. Dos Santos
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by J. Hopkins
1-2
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by R. Donkor
0-2
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Hall, assisted by R. Donkor
0-1

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D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +300, NY Red Bulls -110, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • D.C. United: 18.2%
  • NY Red Bulls: 60.3%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is D.C. United 0-1 NY Red Bulls, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.2% probability, while NY Red Bulls sits at 60.3%, with the draw at 21.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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