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Philadelphia vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Toronto at the MLS on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Apr 22, 11:30PM BMO Field
Apr 22, 11:30PM BMO Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Sargent (56')
K. Franklin (64')
L. Gavran (90')
M. Iloski (45')
D. Jean Jacques (53')
N. Harriel (89')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
A. Bedoya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Gavran, assisted by A. Coello
3-3
(Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by N. Harriel, assisted by A. Bedoya
3-2
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces J. Lukic
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces M. Iloski
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces W. Zimmerman
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces I. Vassilev
D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by K. Franklin, assisted by J. Cifuentes
2-2
J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Sargent, assisted by D. Salloi
2-1
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces D. Kerr
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Jean Jacques
2-0
R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
A. Coello (Toronto FC) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by J. Lukic
1-0
D. Salloi (Toronto FC) cautioned
J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
Game Prediction Article
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Philadelphia vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Philadelphia vs. Toronto
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia +155, Toronto +200, draw +240
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-112)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Philadelphia: 36.7%
- Toronto: 37.2%
- Draw: 26.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 36.7% probability, while Toronto sits at 37.2%, with the draw at 26.1%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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