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Mavericks vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Celtics NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
4th 7:40
NBA
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LIVE
4th 7:40
Updating LIVE
NBA
87
:
101
Mar 7, 12AM TD Garden
Mar 7, 12AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 22 | 31 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
Celtics | 21 | 37 | 32 | 9 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 22 | 31 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
Celtics | 21 | 37 | 32 | 9 | 101 |
Q4 7:40 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 7:59 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:06 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:23 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:41 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 9:00 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 9:05 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:32 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:52 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 10:02 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
87-101
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton)
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
87-99
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
85-99
Derrick White defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
85-97
Sam Hauser offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
85-94
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
82-94
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
82-92
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
82-90
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
80-90
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
80-87
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
77-87
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
77-84
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Dwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
75-84
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin)
Max Christie turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
75-81
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
75-78
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-79
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
75-76
Celtics violation
Celtics turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
72-76
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
72-74
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
69-74
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
66-74
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
66-72
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
64-72
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
64-70
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
64-68
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
61-68
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
61-64
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-65
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
61-62
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-60
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Max Christie defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
60-60
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
60-58
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
57-58
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
55-58
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
53-57
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-58
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
53-55
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
53-52
Jayson Tatum offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
51-52
Celtics misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-50
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
51-49
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
50-47
Celtics personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
51-47
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
48-46
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
48-47
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
48-44
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-44
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-41
Mavericks personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-41
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta)
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
41-40
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
39-40
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
39-37
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
36-37
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
36-34
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
33-34
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
31-34
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
31-31
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall)
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-40
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-40
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
29-31
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
29-29
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Jayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
29-26
Sam Hauser offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
27-26
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
25-26
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
Mavericks turnover
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-24
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
23-24
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-21
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point jump shot
22-23
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
22-21
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
19-21
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
19-19
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
17-19
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
17-16
Mavericks personal foul
Dwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
17-14
Celtics personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-12
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-12
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White)
Celtics turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-12
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics turnover
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
13-12
Celtics 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard)
Celtics turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
11-12
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
9-12
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Nikola Vucevic, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
9-9
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
9-7
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Mavericks turnover
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse misses two point tip layup
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
7-7
Celtics personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes technical free throw 1 of 1
5-7
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
4-7
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
4-5
Celtics personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-2
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-2
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-2
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-2
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell vs. Neemias Queta (Sam Hauser gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| F | 20 | K. Middleton | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 0 | M. Christie | 12 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 32 | C. Flagg | 16 | 7 | 5 |
| F | 13 | N. Marshall | 13 | 1 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 9 | D. White | 20 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 14 | 7 | 5 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 15 | 11 | 6 |
| C | 88 | N. Queta | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| G | 7 | J. Brown | 24 | 7 | 7 |
Game Prediction Article
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Mavericks vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Celtics
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -15
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +800, Celtics -1111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 13%
- Celtics: 87%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 106-120 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 13%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at TD Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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