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Heat vs. Hornets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Hornets NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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4th 0:19
NBA
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NBA
Heat
124
:
120
Mar 7, 12AM Spectrum Center
Hornets
Mar 7, 12AM Spectrum Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Heat
30 28 40 26 124
Hornets
27 34 40 19 120
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
HeatMIA
Win %
98%
2%
HornetsCHA
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
30 28 40 26 124
Hornets
27 34 40 19 120
Q4 00:19 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Hornets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Heat misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:19
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19
Grant Williams offensive rebound
Q4 00:19
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q4 00:19
Hornets personal foul
Q4 00:19
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 00:30
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:36
Heat personal foul
Q4 00:36
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q4 00:36
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q4 00:37
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q4 00:39
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:45
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q4 1:02
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
124-120
Q4 1:10
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Q4 1:10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
124-117
Q4 1:11
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:21
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 1:26
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 1:49
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:56
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:59
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 2:25
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-117
Q4 3:11
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
120-117
Q4 3:19
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Q4 3:21
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:39
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q4 3:44
Hornets turnover
Q4 3:52
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q4 3:55
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:19
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
120-114
Q4 4:28
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q4 4:28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
120-111
Q4 4:33
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:37
Hornets turnover
Q4 4:47
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
118-111
Q4 5:04
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 5:05
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
115-111
Q4 5:09
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q4 5:12
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:16
Heat turnover
Q4 5:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:16
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q4 5:36
Hornets turnover
Q4 5:48
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q4 5:50
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q4 5:52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
115-108
Q4 5:55
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
116-108
Q4 5:55
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Q4 5:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:55
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Q4 5:55
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:55
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 5:55
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Q4 6:16
Hornets offensive rebound
Q4 6:16
Hornets turnover
Q4 6:18
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:21
Hornets offensive rebound
Q4 6:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:22
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-108
Q4 6:55
Hornets turnover
Q4 7:06
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
111-108
Q4 7:10
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:10
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 7:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:10
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Q4 7:25
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q4 7:29
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:29
Ryan Kalkbrenner misses two point tip layup
Q4 7:29
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q4 7:32
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:32
Hornets offensive rebound
Q4 7:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:36
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:54
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-108
Q4 8:04
Hornets personal foul
Q4 8:05
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:05
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 8:05
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:05
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q4 8:05
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner, LaMelo Ball, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q4 8:17
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
106-108
Q4 8:28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-106
Q4 8:44
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
104-106
Q4 8:58
Hornets defensive rebound
Q4 8:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:59
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:01
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Q4 9:05
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:11
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 9:14
Sion James misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
104-104
Q4 9:47
Hornets turnover
Q4 10:03
Hornets personal foul
Q4 10:03
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q4 10:03
Instant replay
Q4 10:03
Bam Adebayo misses two point layup
Q4 10:03
Coby White defensive rebound
Q4 10:12
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 10:13
Heat personal foul
Q4 10:13
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-104
Q4 10:13
Coby White misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 10:21
Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
Q4 10:25
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Q4 10:25
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:28
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:39
Hornets turnover
Q4 10:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:01
Hornets personal foul
Q4 11:01
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-103
Q4 11:01
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-103
Q4 11:11
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
100-105
Q4 11:14
Heat turnover
Q4 11:30
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
100-103
Q4 11:30
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Q4 11:49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-101
Q3 00:00
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Hornets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q3 00:03
Coby White defensive rebound
Q3 00:05
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:05
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 00:05
Hornets personal foul
Q3 00:05
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-101
Q3 00:05
Hornets lineup change (Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q3 00:05
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
Q3 00:05
Kasparas Jakucionis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 00:05
Hornets lineup change (Coby White, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q3 00:28
Heat personal foul
Q3 00:28
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-100
Q3 00:28
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q3 00:28
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-101
Q3 00:28
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q3 00:34
Coby White defensive rebound
Q3 00:35
Hornets personal foul
Q3 00:35
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-99
Q3 00:35
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q3 00:35
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
Q3 00:35
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 00:47
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
96-99
Q3 00:52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-96
Q3 1:07
Heat defensive rebound
Q3 1:07
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:07
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q3 1:14
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-96
Q3 1:48
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
92-95
Q3 1:48
Heat personal foul
Q3 1:48
+1
Grant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-96
Q3 1:48
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q3 2:08
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
92-92
Q3 2:25
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 2:25
Hornets lineup change (Josh Green, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q3 2:26
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
89-92
Q3 2:39
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-90
Q3 2:46
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
87-90
Q3 3:04
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
87-88
Q3 3:23
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
84-88
Q3 3:24
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Q3 3:26
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:27
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Q3 3:29
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:52
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
84-85
Q3 4:09
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
81-85
Q3 4:12
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Q3 4:15
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:29
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
81-82
Q3 4:45
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
78-82
Q3 5:11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-80
Q3 5:11
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q3 5:11
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q3 5:11
Hornets lineup change (Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q3 5:19
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Q3 5:19
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
76-80
Q3 5:23
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:37
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q3 5:40
Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:54
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
76-78
Q3 6:12
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
76-76
Q3 6:19
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 6:23
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:35
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-76
Q3 6:57
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
71-76
Q3 7:16
Heat turnover
Q3 7:32
Heat personal foul
Q3 7:32
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 1 of 3
71-72
Q3 7:32
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 2 of 3
71-73
Q3 7:32
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 3 of 3
71-74
Q3 7:40
Hornets offensive rebound
Q3 7:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:40
Heat violation
Q3 7:42
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:56
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Q3 7:56
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-71
Q3 8:00
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:11
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
69-71
Q3 8:12
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q3 8:14
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Q3 8:14
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:19
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:23
Hornets turnover
Q3 8:29
Brandon Miller personal foul
Q3 8:29
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 3
67-69
Q3 8:29
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 3
68-69
Q3 8:29
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 3
69-69
Q3 8:43
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
66-69
Q3 8:55
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q3 8:58
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:08
Hornets turnover
Q3 9:11
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q3 9:13
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:16
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Q3 9:19
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:38
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
66-67
Q3 9:57
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-64
Q3 10:10
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 10:13
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:18
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Q3 10:21
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:36
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
63-64
Q3 10:56
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
63-61
Q3 11:08
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q3 11:10
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-61
Q3 11:34
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q3 11:38
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Hornets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Q3 12:00
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q2 00:07
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:07
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 00:07
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:07
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 1 of 3
58-59
Q2 00:07
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 2 of 3
58-60
Q2 00:07
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Josh Green, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q2 00:07
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 3 of 3
58-61
Q2 00:31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-58
Q2 00:52
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:52
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-57
Q2 00:52
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-58
Q2 1:02
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-56
Q2 1:02
Hornets personal foul
Q2 1:02
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-56
Q2 1:15
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:16
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 1:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:16
Hornets lineup change (Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q2 1:28
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q2 1:31
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:46
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound
Q2 1:46
Heat personal foul
Q2 1:46
+1
Ryan Kalkbrenner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-55
Q2 1:46
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q2 1:46
+1
Ryan Kalkbrenner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-56
Q2 1:49
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:55
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Q2 1:57
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:05
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
53-54
Q2 2:14
Coby White defensive rebound
Q2 2:18
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:21
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q2 2:24
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:33
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-52
Q2 2:37
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 2:40
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:55
Hornets personal foul
Q2 2:55
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-52
Q2 2:55
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-52
Q2 2:55
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges)
Q2 2:57
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q2 2:59
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:23
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
49-52
Q2 3:47
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
46-52
Q2 4:02
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 4:02
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
46-49
Q2 4:06
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:13
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
44-48
Q2 4:13
Heat personal foul
Q2 4:13
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-49
Q2 4:13
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Q2 4:16
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Q2 4:18
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:28
Hornets personal foul
Q2 4:28
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q2 4:39
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
44-46
Q2 4:57
Hornets personal foul
Q2 4:57
Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 4:57
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 4:57
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q2 4:57
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q2 4:57
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-43
Q2 5:01
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q2 5:04
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:20
Hornets defensive rebound
Q2 5:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 5:22
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:35
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q2 5:39
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 5:51
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-43
Q2 6:00
Heat personal foul
Q2 6:00
+1
Miles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-42
Q2 6:00
+1
Miles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-43
Q2 6:09
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
41-41
Q2 6:14
Hornets personal foul
Q2 6:14
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges)
Q2 6:17
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q2 6:19
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:24
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q2 6:27
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:37
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 6:39
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:50
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
38-41
Q2 6:59
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q2 7:01
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:26
Heat turnover
Q2 7:32
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
35-41
Q2 7:32
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 7:32
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q2 7:32
Hornets lineup change (Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges)
Q2 7:34
Heat turnover
Q2 7:41
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 7:43
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:54
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-39
Q2 7:58
Hornets turnover
Q2 7:59
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q2 8:01
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:10
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:10
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 8:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:10
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q2 8:10
Hornets lineup change (Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q2 8:25
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
33-39
Q2 8:44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
33-36
Q2 8:57
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
30-36
Q2 9:05
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q2 9:09
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:24
Heat personal foul
Q2 9:24
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-32
Q2 9:24
+1
Brandon Miller makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-33
Q2 9:24
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
Q2 9:40
Heat turnover
Q2 9:45
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 9:49
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:52
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Q2 9:54
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:19
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 10:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:19
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Josh Green, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q2 10:20
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:23
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Q2 10:25
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:39
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
30-31
Q2 10:47
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q2 10:49
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:59
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
30-29
Q2 10:59
Heat violation
Q2 11:03
Coby White defensive rebound
Q2 11:06
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:26
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 11:28
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:37
Brandon Miller offensive rebound
Q2 11:38
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:47
Heat personal foul
Q1 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Q1 00:02
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 00:06
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:29
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q1 00:29
Hornets personal foul
Q1 00:29
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:29
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:29
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-27
Q1 00:32
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:41
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
29-27
Q1 00:54
Heat personal foul
Q1 00:56
Brandon Miller offensive rebound
Q1 00:59
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:08
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
29-24
Q1 1:24
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
26-24
Q1 1:43
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-22
Q1 1:51
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
23-22
Q1 2:09
Hornets personal foul
Q1 2:09
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 2:09
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 2:09
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-20
Q1 2:21
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
22-20
Q1 2:24
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q1 2:27
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:43
Hornets turnover
Q1 2:43
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:43
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
Q1 2:43
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Coby White, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q1 2:47
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Q1 2:51
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:04
Hornets personal foul
Q1 3:04
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q1 3:04
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, Coby White, Brandon Miller, Grant Williams)
Q1 3:06
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Q1 3:10
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:17
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 3:23
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:28
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Q1 3:31
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:38
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q1 3:40
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:06
Hornets personal foul
Q1 4:06
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-18
Q1 4:06
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, Coby White, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q1 4:06
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q1 4:06
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-18
Q1 4:08
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 4:10
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:24
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Q1 4:27
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:38
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
20-18
Q1 4:52
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-16
Q1 5:04
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
17-16
Q1 5:05
Grant Williams offensive rebound
Q1 5:11
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:20
Heat turnover
Q1 5:28
Josh Green offensive rebound
Q1 5:28
Hornets turnover
Q1 5:30
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-13
Q1 5:50
Hornets personal foul
Q1 5:50
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Q1 5:50
Hornets lineup change (Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Grant Williams)
Q1 5:50
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
17-13
Q1 5:53
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q1 5:55
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:15
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-13
Q1 6:30
Hornets turnover
Q1 6:30
Hornets lineup change (Josh Green, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges)
Q1 6:47
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-13
Q1 6:56
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:56
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 6:56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:56
Hornets 60 second timeout
Q1 7:07
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
9-13
Q1 7:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-10
Q1 7:33
Heat defensive rebound
Q1 7:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 7:35
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:37
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q1 7:40
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:57
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
7-10
Q1 8:17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-7
Q1 8:25
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 8:27
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:34
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q1 8:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:39
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q1 8:41
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:45
Hornets offensive rebound
Q1 8:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:47
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:58
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-7
Q1 9:14
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:14
Heat defensive rebound
Q1 9:14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:28
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q1 9:30
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:41
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
2-7
Q1 9:58
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q1 10:02
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:16
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
2-5
Q1 10:28
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Q1 10:28
Heat personal foul
Q1 10:30
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:36
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Q1 10:38
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:42
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q1 10:44
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-3
Q1 11:31
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
0-3
Q1 11:37
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Q1 11:40
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Bam Adebayo vs. Moussa Diabate (Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro)
Q1 12:00
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges, Brandon Miller)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Heat
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
C7 K. Ware 10 4 0
C13 B. Adebayo 24 12 4
G12 D. Smith 4 4 1
G11 J. Jaquez Jr. 19 2 4
G14 T. Herro 35 9 9
Hornets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G24 B. Miller 22 13 5
G4 S. James 3 0 0
G1 L. Ball 21 2 5
F7 K. Knueppel 27 2 4
F2 G. Williams 12 6 4

Game Prediction Article

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Heat vs. Hornets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Hornets
  • Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Spectrum Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hornets favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +240, Hornets -275

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 29%
  • Hornets: 71%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 112-118 Hornets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 29%, while the Hornets have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hornets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Spectrum Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Hornets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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