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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Trail Blazers vs. Rockets NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Trail Blazers
46
:
51
Mar 7, 1AM Toyota Center
Rockets
Mar 7, 1AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Trail Blazers
34 12 0 0 46
Rockets
27 24 0 0 51
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Trail BlazersPOR
Win %
25%
75%
RocketsHOU
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Trail Blazers
34 12 0 0 46
Rockets
27 24 0 0 51
Q2 2:33 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:53 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:04 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:10 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:54 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:21 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q2 4:41 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:21 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:35 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q2 5:46 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q2 2:31
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Q2 2:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:31
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q2 2:31
Instant replay
Q2 2:33
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:53
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-51
Q2 2:57
Trail Blazers turnover
Q2 3:01
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Q2 3:04
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:06
Vit Krejci offensive rebound
Q2 3:10
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:17
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Q2 3:21
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 3:21
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:21
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 3:21
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 3:40
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q2 3:42
Rockets personal foul
Q2 3:42
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-49
Q2 3:42
Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 3:51
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Q2 3:54
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:13
Trail Blazers turnover
Q2 4:21
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
45-49
Q2 4:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:37
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q2 4:41
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:45
Rockets turnover
Q2 4:56
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q2 5:05
Rockets personal foul
Q2 5:05
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:05
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Q2 5:05
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q2 5:05
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan)
Q2 5:05
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 5:05
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan)
Q2 5:05
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q2 5:19
Trail Blazers defensive rebound
Q2 5:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 5:19
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan)
Q2 5:21
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:34
Stoppage (Other)
Q2 5:35
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
45-47
Q2 5:46
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
43-47
Q2 5:54
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Q2 5:58
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:12
Rockets personal foul
Q2 6:12
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-45
Q2 6:12
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-45
Q2 6:14
Rockets turnover
Q2 6:27
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:27
Rockets defensive rebound
Q2 6:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:44
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
41-45
Q2 7:02
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q2 7:05
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:18
Rockets personal foul
Q2 7:18
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q2 7:30
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 7:30
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 7:30
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 7:30
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Q2 7:30
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III)
Q2 7:30
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-42
Q2 7:32
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 7:34
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:48
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-41
Q2 8:06
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
41-39
Q2 8:12
Rockets turnover
Q2 8:25
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q2 8:29
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:39
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-38
Q2 8:39
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 8:39
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Q2 8:39
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
39-39
Q2 8:39
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III)
Q2 8:54
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 8:54
Robert Williams III turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 8:54
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Blake Wesley)
Q2 8:54
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Q2 9:01
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Q2 9:04
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:14
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 9:14
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 9:16
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:18
Trail Blazers turnover
Q2 9:20
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 9:20
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-35
Q2 9:20
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-36
Q2 9:29
Rockets personal foul
Q2 9:29
+1
Blake Wesley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-34
Q2 9:29
+1
Blake Wesley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-34
Q2 9:49
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q2 9:49
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-34
Q2 9:53
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:12
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 10:14
Rockets personal foul
Q2 10:14
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 10:14
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Q2 10:14
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 10:14
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Q2 10:26
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-31
Q2 10:26
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q2 10:26
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-32
Q2 10:40
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q2 10:43
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:48
Rockets turnover
Q2 10:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:49
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 10:51
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:55
Rockets turnover
Q2 11:20
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
37-29
Q2 11:43
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
34-29
Q1 00:00
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Blake Wesley)
Q2 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason)
Q1 00:02
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Q1 00:04
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:24
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
34-27
Q1 00:25
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Q1 00:29
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:48
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q1 00:48
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-26
Q1 00:48
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-27
Q1 00:58
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Q1 00:59
Rockets personal foul
Q1 00:59
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:59
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Q1 00:59
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q1 00:59
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-25
Q1 1:01
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-25
Q1 1:26
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q1 1:30
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:50
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-22
Q1 1:50
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q1 1:50
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-23
Q1 1:52
Trail Blazers turnover
Q1 2:03
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-20
Q1 2:08
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 2:12
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:20
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Q1 2:23
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:40
Rockets personal foul
Q1 2:40
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:40
Instant replay
Q1 2:40
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Toumani Camara, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley)
Q1 2:40
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Q1 2:40
Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 2:40
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Q1 2:40
+1
Toumani Camara makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-18
Q1 2:41
Rockets turnover
Q1 2:59
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
30-18
Q1 3:12
Trail Blazers personal foul
Q1 3:12
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason)
Q1 3:12
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-18
Q1 3:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
27-17
Q1 3:18
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Q1 3:21
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:32
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
26-15
Q1 3:32
Rockets personal foul
Q1 3:32
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan)
Q1 3:32
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q1 3:32
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-15
Q1 3:34
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Q1 3:37
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:51
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
24-15
Q1 4:09
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
21-15
Q1 4:18
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q1 4:21
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:40
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Q1 4:42
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:06
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
21-13
Q1 5:12
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Q1 5:15
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:26
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q1 5:28
Rockets personal foul
Q1 5:28
+1
Toumani Camara makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-13
Q1 5:28
Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 5:46
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Q1 5:46
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Robert Williams III)
Q1 5:46
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q1 5:47
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-13
Q1 5:51
Trail Blazers turnover
Q1 6:06
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-11
Q1 6:18
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
17-9
Q1 6:35
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Q1 6:38
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:06
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
14-9
Q1 7:11
Rockets turnover
Q1 7:28
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 7:30
Scoot Henderson offensive rebound
Q1 7:30
Rockets personal foul
Q1 7:30
+1
Scoot Henderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-9
Q1 7:30
Scoot Henderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 7:30
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Q1 7:31
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 7:37
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Robert Williams III)
Q1 7:42
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Q1 7:42
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
12-9
Q1 7:45
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:00
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
10-9
Q1 8:16
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q1 8:21
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:44
Rockets turnover
Q1 8:49
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
10-6
Q1 9:03
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q1 9:03
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
7-6
Q1 9:07
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:20
Rockets personal foul
Q1 9:20
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-4
Q1 9:20
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-4
Q1 9:31
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
5-4
Q1 9:51
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
5-2
Q1 9:58
Rockets turnover
Q1 10:03
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 10:06
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:17
Scoot Henderson offensive rebound
Q1 10:20
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:29
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Q1 10:31
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:56
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:03
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 11:16
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q1 11:19
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:32
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Q1 11:35
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:38
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q1 11:41
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Donovan Clingan vs. Alperen Sengun (Scoot Henderson gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Trail Blazers
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
C23 D. Clingan 11 6 0
G17 S. Sharpe 0 0 0
F9 J. Grant 16 0 1
G5 J. Holiday 5 2 7
F33 T. Camara 14 4 2
Rockets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F7 K. Durant 10 3 3
C28 A. Sengun 19 5 2
G1 A. Thompson 10 3 2
G15 R. Sheppard 6 3 4
F2 D. Finney-Smith 2 2 1

Game Prediction Article

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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Trail Blazers vs. Rockets
  • Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Trail Blazers +225, Rockets -263

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Trail Blazers: 31%
  • Rockets: 69%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Trail Blazers 108-114 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Trail Blazers a win probability of 31%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Trail Blazers vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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