NBA Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Stephon Castle [5/30/2026]
NBA
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Cavaliers NBA game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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103
112
May 12, 12AM Rocket Arena
May 12, 12AM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 24 | 32 | 19 | 28 | 103 |
Cavaliers | 21 | 31 | 38 | 22 | 112 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 24 | 32 | 19 | 28 | 103 |
Cavaliers | 21 | 31 | 38 | 22 | 112 |
Q4 00:00 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Paul Reed gains possession)
Evan Mobley turnover (lost ball)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
103-112
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-112
Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons turnover
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
101-111
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
101-109
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
99-109
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Craig Porter Jr., Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Tyrese Proctor, Keon Ellis)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
97-109
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-109
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-109
Pistons personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Marcus Sasser, Daniss Jenkins, Ronald Holland II, Javonte Green)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-108
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-109
Caris LeVert offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
92-107
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Evan Mobley turnover (bad pass)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-107
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-107
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
88-107
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
88-105
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
86-105
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-101
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-102
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
86-100
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Jarrett Allen turnover (lost ball)
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
James Harden misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen misses two point layup
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
83-100
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
81-100
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-99
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-100
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
79-98
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-97
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-98
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
77-96
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
Instant replay
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
77-94
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
77-92
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Paul Reed offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
77-90
End of 3rd Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Dean Wade, Evan Mobley)
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
75-88
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
75-89
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Dean Wade, Evan Mobley)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
75-90
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
75-87
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
73-87
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
73-85
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
73-82
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-81
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-82
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
70-80
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
68-80
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
66-80
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
64-80
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-78
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-78
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen)
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-78
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-78
Instant replay
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
61-77
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
58-77
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
58-75
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-75
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-73
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
56-71
Pistons turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
56-68
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
Pistons turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
56-65
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-62
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
56-60
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-56
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-57
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-54
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
56-52
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
56-50
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-50
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-50
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-49
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-50
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
52-48
Tobias Harris offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris offensive rebound
Caris LeVert offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-47
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-48
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
49-46
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
47-46
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
47-43
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-42
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Javonte Green)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
45-41
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pistons personal foul
Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-41
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green)
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-40
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-38
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart)
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-38
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
38-38
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-35
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
38-35
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Dean Wade turnover (lost ball)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
35-35
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
33-35
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Dean Wade, Evan Mobley)
Pistons violation
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-32
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
31-32
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
31-29
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers turnover
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-27
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
29-27
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-24
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
28-24
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
28-21
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
26-21
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Ronald Holland II)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
24-21
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-21
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
22-20
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
19-20
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Daniss Jenkins turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-18
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Jarrett Allen misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
17-18
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart)
Cavaliers lineup change (Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
15-18
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
12-18
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
10-18
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
10-16
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-16
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-15
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-16
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-14
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons turnover
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
5-13
Jump ball. (Jarrett Allen gains possession)
Ausar Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Evan Mobley steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-9
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-10
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
5-8
Pistons turnover
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-5
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
3-5
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
3-2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Pistons turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley)
Start of 1st Quarter
Jalen Duren (Jarrett Allen gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | R. Holland II | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 7 | P. Reed | 15 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 31 | J. Green | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 25 | M. Sasser | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | E. Mobley | 17 | 8 | 5 |
| G | 5 | S. Merrill | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| G | 8 | D. Schroder | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 43 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 1 | J. Harden | 24 | 0 | 11 |
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Pistons vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 212.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +145, Cavaliers -141
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 36%
- Cavaliers: 64%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 105-109 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 36%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
