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NBA
Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Lakers NBA game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
110
May 12, 2:30AM Crypto.com Arena
May 12, 2:30AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 21 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 115 |
Lakers | 26 | 19 | 39 | 26 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 21 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 115 |
Lakers | 26 | 19 | 39 | 26 | 110 |
Q4 00:00 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:02 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Austin Reaves offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers personal foul
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-110
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-110
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-110
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-110
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
111-110
Lakers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
109-109
Thunder personal foul
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-110
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
109-106
Thunder personal foul
+1
Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-107
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
109-103
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
107-103
Lakers turnover
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
105-103
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
105-100
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
102-100
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
102-98
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
99-98
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-96
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
97-96
Thunder personal foul
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-94
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
95-94
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
94-92
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
95-92
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Instant replay
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
92-92
Austin Reaves turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-92
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-92
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
87-92
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-89
Thunder 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-89
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
84-87
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
82-87
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-85
Lakers personal foul
Lakers personal foul
Thunder personal foul
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-85
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
80-84
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
80-84
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
LeBron James defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-82
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
79-82
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
79-80
Lakers personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-78
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-78
Thunder personal foul
+1
Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-77
Thunder 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
+1
Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-78
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-76
Thunder personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-75
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-76
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-74
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-72
Thunder personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 3
73-70
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 3
73-71
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 3 of 3
73-72
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
Thunder personal foul
Cason Wallace turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Luke Kennard makes three point jump shot
73-69
Lakers personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-66
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-66
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
74-66
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
71-66
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-64
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
69-64
Lakers personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-61
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
68-61
Thunder personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-58
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-58
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
66-58
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-55
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
66-54
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers turnover
Lakers defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
63-54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-52
Lakers violation
Lakers turnover
LeBron James defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-52
Lakers personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Lakers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-52
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
57-52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-49
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
55-49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-47
Lakers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-47
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
51-47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-45
Thunder turnover
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
End of 1st Half.
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-44
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura)
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-45
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-43
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers defensive rebound
Thunder violation
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
48-43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-41
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-41
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-40
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
44-40
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point tip dunk
44-38
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Lakers turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-36
Lakers turnover
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-35
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-36
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
42-34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-32
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
40-32
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-30
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-30
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
38-30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point layup
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Thunder personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-27
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-26
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point putback layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-26
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-26
Thunder offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Adou Thiero, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-26
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Adou Thiero, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (out of bounds step)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
31-26
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-26
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Lakers turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-26
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-26
Lakers personal foul
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-25
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-26
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
21-24
Thunder personal foul
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-22
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
19-22
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-19
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-18
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-19
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-17
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Jaxson Hayes misses two point tip layup
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
14-17
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
14-15
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
14-13
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
14-11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-8
Lakers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-8
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-8
Thunder personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-7
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-8
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
7-6
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-4
Lakers personal foul
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
5-4
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
3-2
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
(LeBron James gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | L. Dort | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 9 | A. Caruso | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 7 | C. Holmgren | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 35 | 1 | 8 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 28 | R. Hachimura | 25 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 15 | A. Reaves | 27 | 7 | 6 |
| G | 10 | L. Kennard | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 23 | L. James | 24 | 12 | 3 |
| G | 36 | M. Smart | 5 | 2 | 3 |
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Thunder vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Lakers
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -12.5
- Total (Over/Under): 214.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -471, Lakers +475
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 83%
- Lakers: 17%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 113-102 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 83%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 17%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
