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Bucks vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Hawks NBA game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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112
:
110
Jan 19, 6PM State Farm Arena
Jan 19, 6PM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 20 | 34 | 26 | 32 | 112 |
Hawks | 19 | 19 | 34 | 38 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
90%
10%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 20 | 34 | 26 | 32 | 112 |
Hawks | 19 | 19 | 34 | 38 | 110 |
Q4 1:49 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:40 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:45 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:39 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:57 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 7:42 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-110
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-107
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks turnover
Bucks personal foul
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
101-100
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-96
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
101-95
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
99-95
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
99-92
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-90
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
96-90
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-87
Bucks personal foul
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-87
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-82
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-83
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
92-81
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
90-81
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
90-78
AJ Green defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
87-76
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 3
80-70
Bucks turnover
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
80-69
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
78-69
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Bucks turnover
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-64
Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris, AJ Green)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
76-63
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-61
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-61
Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green)
Bucks turnover
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Asa Newell, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
Bucks turnover
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
74-54
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
74-51
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
71-51
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
69-51
AJ Green defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
63-48
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
63-45
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
59-40
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
56-40
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-38
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
53-38
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-34
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-33
AJ Green defensive rebound
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-29
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson)
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
41-25
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
36-23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Hawks 60 second timeout
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
33-21
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Vit Krejci, Mouhamed Gueye)
Hawks turnover
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-21
Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
18-19
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris)
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
13-13
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
13-11
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
13-9
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
11-7
Bucks personal foul
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks personal foul
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Hawks turnover
AJ Green turnover
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
7-4
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
4-2
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Jalen Johnson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 18 | K. Kuzma | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| G-F | 7 | K. Porter Jr. | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| G | 13 | R. Rollins | 14 | 3 | 3 |
| F | 9 | B. Portis | 19 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 34 | G. Antetokounmpo | 21 | 17 | 6 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 1 | J. Johnson | 27 | 16 | 6 |
| F | 24 | C. Kispert | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| C | 17 | O. Okongwu | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| G | 3 | C. McCollum | 17 | 3 | 3 |
| G | 7 | N. Alexander-Walker | 32 | 6 | 6 |
Game Prediction Article
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Bucks vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Hawks
- Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hawks favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +100, Hawks -115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 42%
- Hawks: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 114-117 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 42%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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