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Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Cavaliers NBA game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
136
104
Jan 19, 7:30PM Rocket Arena
Jan 19, 7:30PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 32 | 34 | 25 | 45 | 136 |
Cavaliers | 27 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 104 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 32 | 34 | 25 | 45 | 136 |
Cavaliers | 27 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 104 |
Q4 00:07 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:46 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:33 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:53 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:00 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:15 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
133-101
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
131-101
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
128-99
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Craig Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
122-99
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
116-99
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-95
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
110-94
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
110-92
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-92
Thunder personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-91
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace)
Thunder turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Jaylon Tyson turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, De'Andre Hunter)
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
106-89
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, De'Andre Hunter, Craig Porter Jr.)
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
104-89
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
104-87
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Proctor personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
Tyrese Proctor turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Tyrese Proctor, Dean Wade)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
+2
Craig Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
97-84
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-82
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
92-82
Cavaliers personal foul
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Tyrese Proctor, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Craig Porter Jr.)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
91-79
Thunder personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-75
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
87-75
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
84-72
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
De'Andre Hunter turnover (offensive foul)
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
78-67
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
78-68
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-65
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
De'Andre Hunter misses two point driving layup
De'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball)
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
76-60
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ousmane Dieng, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
74-56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-54
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, De'Andre Hunter)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Dean Wade turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
68-53
Thunder personal foul
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
66-51
End of 1st Half.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-48
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-49
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-46
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
60-45
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
57-45
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Cavaliers turnover
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, De'Andre Hunter)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
53-45
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, De'Andre Hunter)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers turnover
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-41
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-42
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-40
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-39
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Tyrese Proctor, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
44-38
Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Lonzo Ball, Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
41-31
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-31
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
36-31
Thunder turnover
Thunder turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
36-29
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Evan Mobley misses two point putback layup
Thunder defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, De'Andre Hunter)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-27
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
30-25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-22
Craig Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-18
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, De'Andre Hunter, Craig Porter Jr.)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-15
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-16
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
23-14
Isaiah Joe personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-12
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-12
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-12
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-12
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
15-10
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-8
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
13-8
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-6
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
11-6
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-6
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-6
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
5-6
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-4
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Start of 1st Quarter
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| G | 3 | C. Youngblood | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 16 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 9 | C. Porter Jr. | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| C-F | 3 | T. Bryant | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 35 | N. Tomlin | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| G | 24 | T. Proctor | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 20 | J. Tyson | 16 | 10 | 4 |
Game Prediction Article
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Thunder vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -6
- Total (Over/Under): 230
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -220, Cavaliers +185
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 68%
- Cavaliers: 32%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 117-112 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 68%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Cavaliers in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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