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Lions vs. Chiefs Preview and Prediction

Our Lions vs. Chiefs preview, analysis and predictions for October 12, 2025, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
NFL
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NFL
Lions
Predicted score
25
:
28
Oct 13, 12:20AM GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs
Oct 13, 12:20AM GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 4:45AM, Oct 8
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Lions
Chiefs -2.5
Spread
50%
50%
Chiefs
Lions DET
Chiefs -2.5
Spread
50%
50%
Chiefs KC
Player Props
Anytime Touchdown
First Touchdown
Lions
Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs
58.8%
David Montgomery
49.2%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
46.4%
Sam LaPorta
Jameson Williams
Chiefs
Probability
Kareem Hunt
38.2%
Xavier Worthy
35.0%
Travis Kelce
30.9%
Isiah Pacheco
Hollywood Brown
Projected Player Stats
Lions Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
J. Goff
Chiefs Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
P. Mahomes
Lions Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Gibbs
D. Montgomery
J. Goff
Chiefs Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
I. Pacheco
P. Mahomes
K. Hunt
Lions Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
A. St. Brown
J. Williams
S. LaPorta
J. Gibbs
I. TeSlaa
Chiefs Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
X. Worthy
T. Kelce
H. Brown
J. Smith-Schuster
T. Thornton

Game Prediction Article

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Lions vs. Chiefs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lions +118, Chiefs -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lions: 41%
  • Chiefs: 59%

Dimers.com's predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Lions 25-28 Chiefs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lions a win probability of 41%, while the Chiefs have a win probability of 59%.

Summary

The Lions face off against the Chiefs in the NFL at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, October 12, 2025. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Lions vs. Chiefs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL picks, NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.

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