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NFL Week 5: Best Player Prop Bet for 49ers vs. Rams in Prime Time
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
Get the best odds for this NFL player prop and see why it's our Prime Time Prop Bet for Thursday Night Football when the 49ers tackle the Rams.
The San Francisco 49ers will clash with the Los Angeles Rams in a pivotal Week 5 Thursday Night Football game at SoFi Stadium. The Rams are projected to win by a 27 - 20 margin, and we've identified a high-value Prime Time player prop bet that is too good to ignore in this NFL matchup.
We’ve put together an impressive run with our Prime Time NFL prop bets, cashing three straight tickets. The streak includes hitting on Jahmyr Gibbs’ receiving yards, Kyler Murray’s rushing yards, and Jordan Love’s rushing yards, so read on for another Prime Time Prop Bet, this time from 49ers vs. Rams.
Week 5 NFL Prime Time Prop Bet (49ers at Rams)
Brian Robinson Jr. Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
The betting line for Robinson's rushing yards is set at a relatively low 19.5, which immediately catches the eye. A deep dive into the data, and cross-referencing our NFL Trends with our NFL Player Projections, makes a compelling case for the Over.
Robinson’s recent performance has been flawlessly consistent against this number. He has recorded more than 19.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances, a perfect run that highlights his floor as a rotational back in the 49ers' offense.
Looking specifically at Robinson's 2025 game log with the 49ers, he has cleared this total in every single game:
- Week 1 at Seahawks: 33 Rushing Yards on 9 carries
- Week 2 at Saints: 20 Rushing Yards on 6 carries
- Week 3 vs. Cardinals: 22 Rushing Yards on 2 carries
- Week 4 vs. Jaguars: 21 Rushing Yards on 5 carries
Expect Brian Robinson Jr to cruise past 19.5 rushing yards on Thursday night.
The Dimers NFL Player Projections page validates this trend by projecting Robinson for 21.7 Rushing Yards in the Thursday night matchup.
While this is a relatively small margin over the line, the fractional edge, when combined with a perfect 5-game historical trend, signifies a high-probability outcome.
Furthermore, the toe injury that will keep quarterback Brock Purdy out is an intangible factor that could play into our hands. Backup QB Mac Jones is less inclined to scramble or take off on designed runs, potentially leading to more carries being allocated to the running back rotation, giving Robinson an even safer path to clear the 19.5-yard mark.
For context: Mac Jones has 54 carries in his 58 game NFL career, while Brock Purdy has 134 carries from just 32.
Given this change at QB and Robinson's recent flawless success in clearing this number, a supporting statistical projection, and a favorable game-day narrative, the Over 19.5 Rushing Yards for Brian Robinson Jr. (-112) is our Prime Time Prop Bet for Thursday Night Football as we look to extend our run into four-game winning streak.
NFL Prime Time Prop Bets in 2025
As mentioned above, we are currently on a three-game winning streak with these Prime Time NFL prop bets - successfully hitting on Jahmyr Gibbs' receiving yards, Kyler Murray's rushing yards, and Jordan Love's rushing yards
- Monday Night Football Week 3: Jahmyr Gibbs over 27.5 receiving yards
- Thursday Night Football Week 4: Kyler Murray over 28.5 rushing yards
- Sunday Night Football Week 4: Jordan Love over 5.5 rushing yards
- Monday Night Football Week 4: No suitable bet
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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