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Alabama State vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Mississippi State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/29/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Alabama State vs Mississippi State predictions for college basketball Monday.

Alabama State-Mississippi State Predictions and Game Preview.
Alabama State vs. Mississippi State men's college basketball prediction for Monday, December 29, 2025.

Men's college basketball action continues on Monday at 7:30 PM ET as Alabama State locks horns with Mississippi State in men's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Mississippi State as the most likely winner of the Alabama State vs. Mississippi State game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Alabama State vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NCAA basketball game between Alabama State and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Mississippi State a 95% chance of beating Alabama State. Our predicted final score has Mississippi State winning 86-67.

According to our model, Mississippi State (-17.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 154.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Alabama State vs. Mississippi State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Alabama State Mississippi State
Spread +17.5 (-110) -17.5 (-110)
Moneyline +1300 -2100
Total o154.5 (-105) u154.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alabama State vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Mississippi State -17.5 -110
Moneyline Mississippi State -2100
Total Under 154.5 -112

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State -17.5 at the spread.

 

Alabama State vs. Mississippi State game-day updates and essential details

Monday's men's college basketball matchup between Mississippi State and Alabama State at Humphrey Coliseum is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Alabama State vs. Mississippi State
  • Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
  • Venue: Humphrey Coliseum

Conclusion

We predict Mississippi State, with a 95% win probability, will likely beat Alabama State on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alabama State vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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