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Cardinals vs. Texans prediction: Houston favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arizona Cardinals vs Houston Texans predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Arizona Cardinals square off with the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Texans as the most likely winner of the Cardinals vs. Texans game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Cardinals vs. Texans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Cardinals-Texans predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Cardinals and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Texans an 82% chance of defeating the Cardinals in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 25-16.
According to our model, the Cardinals (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Cardinals vs. Texans odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cardinals | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-110) | -10.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +455 | -550 |
| Total | o42.5 (-108) | u42.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cardinals vs. Texans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cardinals +10.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | +455 |
| Total | Over 42.5 | -108 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cardinals +10.5 at the spread.
Cardinals vs. Texans TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Cardinals vs. Texans?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Woody Marks is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Cardinals vs. Texans.
Our projections give Marks a 52.2% chance of scoring a TD at NRG Stadium, while the running back is a 14.6% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride (TE) | 33.7% |
| Bam Knight (RB) | 29.2% |
| Michael Wilson (WR) | 28.1% |
| Emari Demercado (RB) | 18.9% |
| Michael Carter (RB) | 12.5% |
Houston Texans
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Woody Marks (RB) | 52.2% |
| Nico Collins (WR) | 41.7% |
| Jayden Higgins (WR) | 25.1% |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | 24.5% |
| Dare Ogunbowale (RB) | 20.0% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride (TE) | 7.5% |
| Bam Knight (RB) | 6.3% |
| Michael Wilson (WR) | 6.0% |
| Emari Demercado (RB) | 3.8% |
| Michael Carter (RB) | 2.4% |
Houston Texans
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Woody Marks (RB) | 14.6% |
| Nico Collins (WR) | 10.7% |
| Jayden Higgins (WR) | 5.7% |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | 5.6% |
| Dare Ogunbowale (RB) | 4.4% |
Cardinals vs Texans player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cardinals and Texans. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cardinals' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 237 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 238 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett (ARI) | 237 |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | 238 |
Cardinals rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bam Knight | 34 |
| Michael Carter | 17 |
| Jacoby Brissett | 17 |
Texans rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Woody Marks | 83 |
| C.J. Stroud | 14 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 9 |
Cardinals receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Michael Wilson | 70 |
| Trey McBride | 65 |
| Andre Baccellia | 21 |
| Jalen Brooks | 18 |
| Bam Knight | 16 |
Texans receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 79 |
| Jayden Higgins | 43 |
| Dalton Schultz | 42 |
| Christian Kirk | 21 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 19 |
Cardinals vs. Texans game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Texans and Cardinals at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Texans, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cardinals vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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