Arkansas vs. Arizona prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win men's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup [3/26/2026]

Arizona will square off with Arkansas in March Madness Sweet Sixteen action at SAP Center at San Jose on Thursday, beginning at 9:55 PM ET.

For this NCAA Tournament game, Arizona—a complete team with a monstrous frontcourt and NBA-level talent— come up against Arkansas, dominant guard play led by Calipari’s best point guard in years.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Arizona as the most likely winner of the Arkansas vs. Arizona game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas vs. Arizona prediction: Who will win and advance to the Elite Eight?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament matchup between Arkansas and Arizona, forming part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Arizona a 79% chance of defeating Arkansas. Our predicted final score has Arizona winning 85-76.

According to our model, Arizona (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Arkansas vs. Arizona odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arkansas	Arizona
Spread	+8.5 (-110)	-8.5 (+100)
Moneyline	+340	-400
Total	o165.5 (-115)	u165.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas vs. Arizona picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Arizona -8.5	+100
Moneyline	Arizona	-400
Total	Under 165.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arizona -8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Arkansas vs. Arizona game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Arizona and Arkansas at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to start at 9:55 PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas vs. Arizona
• Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
• Time: 9:55 PM ET/6:55PM PT
• Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
• March Madness stage: Sweet 16

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Conclusion

We predict Arizona, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas this men's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas vs. Arizona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

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