Jun 14, 2026
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Read Article Braves vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Sunday.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET as the Atlanta Braves lock horns with the New York Mets at Citi Field.
The Mets will start Freddy Peralta (4-5, 4.04 ERA), up against Bryce Elder (5-3, 2.66 ERA) for the Braves.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Braves vs. Mets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Braves vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Braves and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 56.7% chance of defeating the Braves.
According to our model, the Braves (+1.5) have a 60.6% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 55.9% chance of going over,.
Braves vs. Mets odds [6/14/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Braves | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-192) | -1.5 (+159) |
| Moneyline | +112 | -131 |
| Total | o8.5 (-110) | u8.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Braves vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +159 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -131 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Braves vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Braves at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
- Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 56.7% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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