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Ravens vs. Bengals prediction: Why Baltimore is favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Baltimore Ravens square off with the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Ravens vs. Bengals game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Ravens vs. Bengals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Ravens-Bengals predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Ravens and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 56% chance of defeating the Bengals in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 26-24.
According to our model, the Bengals (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Ravens vs. Bengals odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ravens | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-120) | +2.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +140 |
| Total | o51.5 (-110) | u51.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ravens vs. Bengals picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals +2.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Bengals | +140 |
| Total | Under 51.5 | -110 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Bengals +2.5 at the spread.
Ravens vs. Bengals TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Bengals?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime TD in Ravens vs. Bengals.
Our projections give Henry a 59.4% chance of scoring a TD at Paycor Stadium, while the running back is a 13.0% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 59.4% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 37.5% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 31.8% |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | 27.2% |
| Rashod Bateman (WR) | 23.0% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase (WR) | 52.9% |
| Chase Brown (RB) | 36.4% |
| Mike Gesicki (TE) | 26.4% |
| Andrei Iosivas (WR) | 24.3% |
| Mitchell Tinsley (WR) | 23.3% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 13.0% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 6.7% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 5.5% |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | 4.6% |
| Rashod Bateman (WR) | 3.8% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase (WR) | 12.0% |
| Chase Brown (RB) | 7.2% |
| Mike Gesicki (TE) | 4.9% |
| Andrei Iosivas (WR) | 4.4% |
| Mitchell Tinsley (WR) | 4.2% |
Ravens vs Bengals player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Bengals. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 231 passing yards, while the Bengals' Joe Burrow is expected to throw for a whopping 269 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 231 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | 269 |
Ravens rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 87 |
| Lamar Jackson | 39 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 22 |
Bengals rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 53 |
| Samaje Perine | 29 |
| Joe Burrow | 9 |
Ravens receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 69 |
| Mark Andrews | 41 |
| Isaiah Likely | 39 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 25 |
| Rashod Bateman | 25 |
Bengals receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 92 |
| Mike Gesicki | 40 |
| Andrei Iosivas | 35 |
| Mitchell Tinsley | 35 |
| Chase Brown | 25 |
Ravens vs. Bengals game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Bengals and Ravens at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Ravens, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ravens vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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